Mullen Visits Egypt, Security Sector Reform and Mubarak’s Trial Debated: Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral
Mike Mullen said concerns about military trials for civilians and allegations of torture would be addressed privately with the supreme military council.
Sarah Carr stressed the need to reform the Egyptian Ministry of Interior.
Tewfick Aclimandos argued that security sector reform in Egypt
will require a long view toward officer education. Meanwhile, analysts
discussed the implications of ousted Egyptian president
Hosni Mubarak’s anticipated trial as helpful or harmful to the transition.
Discussion on U.S. Policy toward Arab Spring: Charles Landow argued that economic development can help Egypt and Tunisia successfully transition from autocracy to democracy, while
Saifedean Ammous said too much aid money would be harmful.
Brian Katulis wrote that President
Barack Obama still lacks a coherent and proactive strategy for the region.
Ray Takeyh argued that the the Arab Spring marks the beginning of a “post-American era” in the Middle East. Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton characterized the importance of continuing to expand U.S. investments in Iraq “as essential [to] building democratic institutions.”
International Condemnation of Syria Grows: U.N. human rights chief Dr.
Navi Pillay strongly
condemned the Syrian regime’s oppression as “totally unacceptable.” Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton emphasized that the Syrian regime must change its behavior or “get out of the way.” Rep.
Keith Ellison (D-MI)
criticized the violence in Syria as a “disgrace in the world scene,” adding that the Assad regime has lost all legitimacy. The IAEA
voted to refer Syria to the U.N. Security Council, a move
supported by White House Press Secretary
Jay Carney. Britain and France
introduced a resolution to refer Syria to the Security Council also.
Syrian Violence Continues: Democracy Digest reported that protests in Syria center around the desire for free and transparent media, fair elections, and increased social tolerance.
Elliott Abrams described the potential fall of the Syrian regime as “the greatest defeat” for Iran and Hezbollah.
Elias Muhanna discussed the implications of the reported attacks on Syrian forces. In addition, confusion abounds on whether the Syrian ambassador to France had
resigned her post in a French TV interview. In Brussels, the National Coalition to Support the Syrian Revolution issued a series of
recommendations, and
characterized any negotiations with the regime as a “joke,” until violence ends.
Bahraini Crown Prince Visits Washington: President
Barack Obama made a “
drop by” visit to a scheduled meeting between Bahraini Crown Prince
Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa and National Security Advisor
Tom Donilon. The President was
supportive of the Crown Prince’s reform efforts but pressed him on holding human rights violators accountable. Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton described Bahrain as a “partner” and the Crown Prince reiterated his commitment to reform.
Continued Criticism of Bahrain’s Crackdown:
The Washington Post argued that the Obama administration has “a chance to turn the situation [in Bahrain] around.”
Brian Dooley recommended the U.S. convey “forcefully and unambiguously” that the human rights abuses in Bahrain are unacceptable.
Roy Gutman argued that the king’s call for dialogue is undermined by the detention of opposition leaders.
Nicholas Kristof pleaded for the release of Bahraini professor
Hassan al-Sahaf, in an open letter to Bahrain’s King
Hamad bin Issa Al Khalifa. Official Bahraini media outlets
accused the Obama administration of plotting with opposition leaders to overthrow the regime. The Bahrain News Agency
fabricated reports that the U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights Dr.
Navi Pillay supported the “reforms” underway in Bahrain. Pillay
issued a statement condemning the fabricated statements.
Paths to Reform in Morocco and Turkey: Lahcen Achy argued that the reforms to Morocco’s constitution signified a shift from an absolute to constitutional monarchy. French Foreign Minister
Alain Juppé is
optimistic for the future but urged the king to “accelerate” the reforms. Meanwhile, one analyst
argued that Morocco’s invitation to the Gulf Cooperation Council is a flawed attempt at blocking reforms.
The Economist argued that “the best way for Turks to promote democracy would be to vote against the ruling party” in the upcoming June 12th elections. A second article
argued that the Arab Spring “has brought a new focus on Turkey,” which is considered “a working example of a Muslim democracy.” Senior AKP officials were
angered by the newspaper's position. Preliminary election reports
show the ruling party won their third parliamentary election with more than 50 percent of the vote, though the AKP fell short of the two-thirds needed to make constitutional changes.
Donors Pledge Aid to Libyan Opposition: Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton traveled to the UAE to
meet with members of the Libyan Contact Group and announced an additional $26.5 million in aid, but continues to
debate full recognition of the TNC. The international community
pledged more than $1.3 billion to help support the TNC. In Congress, the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
postponed a planned session on a draft resolution about U.S. military involvement in Libya.
Muammar Gadhafi sent a letter to Speaker
John Boehner's office thanking members of Congress for criticizing President
Barack Obama for his involvement in the NATO-led military operation in Libya. A spokesman for Boehner's office reported that they were unable to vouch for the authenticity of the letter. Meanwhile, according to a TNC aide,
Saif al-Islam approached rebels to discuss an exit from power for his father, leader
Muammar Gadhafi.
Micah Zenko wrote that a stalemated civil war in Libya would exacerbate the humanitarian situation. Chief ICC Prosecutor
Luis Moreno-Ocampo considered adding rape to the charges against Gadhafi.
U.S. to Increase Access of Information to Dissidents: Through a $2 million grant from the State Department, the Obama administration is
leading a global effort to deploy Internet and mobile phone systems that will allow communication through wireless networks without any disruption from the government in countries like Iran, Syria and Libya.
New Sanctions in Iran: The U.S. Treasury
announced new sanctions on Iran. Secretary of State
Hillary Clinton “Iraq: Coalition Under Stress.” The report highlights the political brinkmanship occurring within Iraq’s national unity government, which has the potential to bring down the government.
From the Middle East
Bahrain Grand Prix Cancelled, Crackdown Continues: Despite initially reinstating the FIA race, a barrage of
condemnation from human rights organizations has led to the cancellation of this year's race,
humiliating the Bahraini regime. Police violently
broke up protests in Shi’a neighborhoods in and around Manama. Al-Wefaq, the leading opposition party, was
prevented from holding a presentation detailing abuses by the regime, officially due to lack of a permit. The government
dismissed hundreds of mostly Shiite workers accused of participating in anti-government rallies. And 47 doctors and nurses were
charged, in a closed-door
hearing, with
attempting to overthrow the monarchy. Thousands of protesters
gathered for Bahrain's first public rally northwest of Manama over the weekend, while former MP’s
Matar Matar and
Jawad Fairooz were
charged with "spreading malicious lies in an attempt to overthrow the government" and a poet was sentenced to one year in prison in a military court.
Syrian Crackdown in the North: The Syrian state media
reported “armed gangs” killed 120 security forces, and civilians in Jisrash Shugur. The Interior Minister defended the operations.
Robert Fisk argued that the revolt in Syria is becoming an “armed insurrection.” Turkish Prime Minister
Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that Turkey will not “close its doors” to refugees, as thousands, including defecting soldiers,
fled. A Qatari newspaper
called for action in Syria. The Syrian government-ordered committee examining the death of
Hamza al-Khatib delivered disputed findings that he died from gunshot wounds. Air power was
used to crush protests on Friday with reports of 14 protests dead in Damascus and elsewhere.
Egyptian Demand New Constitution, Muslim Brotherhood Recognized: A coalition of 11 Egyptian NGOs
released a statement calling on the SCAF to follow the Tunisian example and draft a new constitution before elections.
Issandr El Amrani noted that this call is gaining public support.
Mohamed El Baradei published an online video calling for the creation of a bill of rights. Meanwhile, Egypt’s interim government
recognized the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party as an official political party.
Thanassis Cambanis wrote that the party has opened offices in every province and has entered coalition talks with other groups. In addition, the Salafi party was
established as an official political party by the Political Parties’ Affairs Committee as the third official political party since the uprising.
Political Feuding in Yemen, Potential Reform in the Gulf: Conflicting reports
emerged last week about whether talks had
begun between the ruling party and opposition bloc in Yemen. Protesters
threatened to install a provisional presidential council in defiance of the traditional opposition umbrella organization, the Joint Meetings Party (JMP). According to reports, Yemeni soldiers
killed 21
al-Qaeda members in Zinjibar. According to President
Ali Abdullah Saleh's opponents, Saleh has handed over Zinjibar to Islamists in an effort to reinforce his threat that if his regime falls, it would result in a takeover by al-Qaeda. The Shoura Council in Saudi Arabia
recommended that women should be allowed to vote and run as candidates in future elections. Qatar’s cabinet
approved a new media law to allow journalists to write freely “except on issues concerning national security and friendly countries.”